Does disclosure to the Attorney General affect First Amendment rights?

The mere possibility that some contributors may choose to withhold their support does not establish a substantial burden on First Amendment rights. A plaintiff cannot establish a significant First Amendment burden by showing only "that one or two persons refused to make contributions because of the possibility of disclosure," Buckley , 424 U.S. at 72, 96 S.Ct. 612, or that "people may 'think twice' about contributing," Family PAC , 685 F.3d at 807. The evidence presented by the plaintiffs here does not show that disclosure to the Attorney General will "actually and meaningfully deter contributors," id. , or that disclosure would entail "the likelihood of a substantial restraint upon the exercise by [their contributors] of their right to freedom of association," NAACP v. Alabama ex rel. Patterson , 357 U.S. 449, 462, 78 S.Ct. 1163, 2 L.Ed.2d 1488 (1958).⁵ Cf.

[903 F.3d 1015]